With
the performance of the EU over their Covid vaccine strategy even attracting criticism
from some of the most ardent “Rejoiners,” it could be helpful to remind everyone
about defence. Although Covid dominates
our attention, a determined enemy would relish the opportunity to gain an
advantage whilst our attention was focussed elsewhere. To remind, Article 5 of the NATO Treaty
requires all the signatories to come to each other’s aid in the event one of
them is attacked – the principle of collective defence. Could that be relied upon? Following the Russian annexation
of Crimea in 2014 , Julian Roepcke, writing in Standpoint, reports a black joke
in the German security community: “if Russia invades the Baltic states, Germany will
of course honour its NATO commitment and defend them – once the German public
approves this in a binding referendum.” As for EU defence initiatives,
they offer a full spectrum of military assistance short of actual fighting capability
and could be safely ignored. As Richard Barrons put it, their several
Headquarters "provide day care for middle-aged officers" and are
"unable to deploy anywhere robustly and quickly."
The
astonishing behaviour of the EU over so-called, “vaccine wars,” should remind
those in charge of UK defence that we should ensure we are able to look after
ourselves. Recent events give no cause
for optimism that the EU could unite on anything (except hatred of Brexit), let
alone collective defence. All of which bodes ill for the future of the new Queen Elizabeth carriers which, with only 48 F35B aircraft, pack only a modest punch and will require the support of allies to maintain even that capability.
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