Jeremy Warner noted recently that within 45 years the UK
will be Europe's largest economy but that position will have been won by a
growth in population based upon immigration.
Quoting from a 2015 "Ageing Report" he notes that net
immigration into the UK will continue at current elevated levels for much of
the period, adding a further 9 million to the population by 2060. This is a salutary revelation with profound implication for our culture and
the infrastructure that supports our way of life eg schools, hospitals and
public services (to say nothing of Armed Forces recruitment). Of course, projections and extrapolations can
prove inaccurate but we have to start somewhere. I would far rather have a plan for the worst
case scenario rather than blunder on in hope that the statisticians and
forecasters will be proved wrong in practise.
Most reasonable people are not against immigration of itself
but it is perfectly reasonable to demand honesty about its impact. Further, we have a right to expect that, if
we have an immigration policy, our border controls are capable of implementing
it.
The current Labour Party disarray over immigration policy
must have come as an early Christmas present to the Conservative
strategists. I would be sharing the back-slapping
and glad-handing if there was any evidence to show that the Conservative policy
was any more coherent. I remarked before
that David Cameron had made a promising start in his recent major speech and he
had provided some hope, albeit in a non-specific sort of way. What we need now, however, is evidence of
intent.
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