I am in favour improving our health and social care system,
provided we can afford it. But in politics, affordability is a word used
gravely in committee rooms, not in manifestos. Bereft of ideas and bogged down
in a futile quest for compromise in the EU negotiation, the government seems
intent on seizing the compassion high ground by announcing a massive cash
injection to the sacred NHS. Not just a sticking plaster but a continuous
transfusion of cash designed to disinfect the Tory brand and pre-empt the
opposition. But I wonder if just giving
the NHS more cash is the answer? Firstly, are we sure the NHS is already
spending our money wisely and efficiently? And what percentage of additional
cash would be swallowed up by a Parkinson’s Law growth in bureaucracy and
administration - a lot more fat Controllers? Both good questions, I’m sure you agree, but we are unlikely to
get any answers in the headlong political rush to buy votes. The money, we are
told will have to come from additional taxation, with which we are told we are mostly
in favour, or additional borrowing for our heirs and successors to pay off. Neither
funding source would help the economy grow so that future increases in health
spending become sustainable. On the
other hand, at the moment we borrow about £14 billion a year to give away in
overseas aid. And then there is the £12 billion a year we give to the EU.
That’s £26 billion a year or a cool £500 million a week to spend. That would be
more than enough to fund the 4% a year increase demanded by Simon Stevens
without vandalising the defence budget again. One condition I would recommend
inserting before handing over the cash, however; tell us in advance exactly how
the cash will be spent and the measurable outcomes it will achieve. Otherwise, go for it - that would be a tune
to set Conservative hearts beating!
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