Is the Conservative Party really on the ropes or are they
taking punishment in a Muhammad Ali “rope-a-dope” trick to lure the opposition into a trap?
The last few days have been very tough on Conservatives in general and
supporters of Brexit in particular. Personal discomfort has been exacerbated by
the grinning TV media who have been unable to conceal their delight in the Prime
Minister’s difficulties. Boris was below
par at PMQ on Wednesday and a speech at a Police Academy in Wakefield today reported
as “chaotic and rambling.” Successive government reverses in have shown that it
will be impossible to carry out current/future manifesto and deliver Brexit on
present parliament. How can we have
allowed ourselves to get into this position and how can Conservative strategy
have been so naïve as to fail to anticipate the rebel alliances and the Speaker’s
vindictive spanners in the works? It
would be easy to despair. But the clue
to the salvation strategy actually lies in the apparently desolated battlefield
of recent tactical reverses. The
intention was never to see off the rebels and hold a deal/or no deal by 31
October line in parliament – that plan could succeed but was much more likely
to fail, as has proved to be the case. The
only sure way to sustain a Conservative government, and by manifesto, deliver
Brexit, was to win the election that has been inevitable since Mrs May lost her
authority in 2017. The win must be a knockout
blow to neutralise the opposition and ensure the smooth passage of promised
legislation. Far from a failure to anticipate events, the Cummings’ strategy will
capitalise on apparent reverses with the single unequivocal mission of
obtaining a substantial Conservative Party parliamentary working majority. As any military strategist throughout history
will tell you, selecting and maintaining the aim is the essential ingredient of
success. Seen through the prism of the
mission statement, most of what has gone on may be explained as either
contributing to the grand strategy or written-off as the inevitable casualties
of conflict, twenty one rebels included.
I do so hope I am right in my optimism.
Meantime, if Labour and the other parties, with all the parliamentary power at their disposal, will not vote to
remove the Prime Minister, how can they complain if he acts against their
wishes?
No comments:
Post a Comment