The breaking news on Thursday evening that some footballers
had been isolated because they may have contracted the virus, predictably,
resulted in a full-scale response by the football authorities who have now
cancelled all major games until April at the earliest. Government advice or not, it appears that we
shall now be swept up in a spiral of cancellations with each authority terrified
as being branded as complacent. The next
stage for Mushroom, being elderly, appears to be being instructed to stay at
home and avoid socialising for up to 3 months during the summer. This is a bleak prospect but, apparently,
necessary given that peak infection will occur in 10 to 14 weeks and could probably
recur later in the year.
I have no intention of joining the rapidly swelling ranks of
armchair experts but, reading my newspaper, it seems that the Government
strategy is to keep the numbers requiring medical care within the surge capability
of the NHS resources. We hear, from
Italy, that doctors are having to make life or death decisions, like a
battlefield dressing station, because of limited resources. Thus, the government strategy seems sensible
and would be consistent with an overall aim of minimising fatal casualties.
Being locked down and taking protective measures was a
feature of my Cold War service in the RAF.
We knew that the Warsaw Pact could deploy chemical and biological
weapons which were designed to either kill or incapacitate NATO forces. At the
very least, such attacks could overwhelm medical resources and reduce the will
to fight. At their worst some substances
would kill quickly and horribly (like Salisbury). We wore protective clothing and took
elaborate measures to operate in a clean environment accordingly. Nuclear, Biological and Chemical (NBC)
protection was a fundamental element of our fighting posture and was exercised
regularly. Tactical evaluations of
fighting efficiency were always made under the threat of NBC attack. Unfortunately, NBC protection came at a huge
cost to fighting efficiency. Working
outside on aircraft, refuelling and rearming, for example, required all personnel
to wear protective clothing – charcoal over suits, rubber gloves and a claustrophobic
respirator face-mask. Such clothing was
cumbersome and very hot and greatly limited the amount that could be done. When the outside shift was finished,
personnel would have to discard their “dirty” clothing before decontamination
and rest in a “clean” area. All time
consuming and frustrating for those waiting in line for entry. Flying the aircraft was similarly
complicated. Additional to charcoal suits
worn over normal flying clothing, aircrew would wear an AR5 breathing apparatus
and carry portable filtration devices which would be discarded after plugging
in to the aircraft oxygen system. After
flying the mission both the pilot and the aircraft would be considered “dirty”
and handled accordingly. On the aircraft
I flew I was not aware of anyone flying even a practice mission in full NBC kit
and AR5 but we practiced it in the flight simulator. It was a steaming hot, physically demanding
and disorientating experience. All
things considered, it was wise for commanders at all levels to match the level
of protection to the actual threat and not jump the gun in anticipation.
There was no point in going about one’s business fully suited up if
there was no immediate threat of attack – this sort of procedure came under the
category of “practice bleeding.” Yet,
despite the scrutiny of the exercise evaluators, personnel would short cut and
cheat, anything to minimise the discomfort.
So I think the Prime Minister must face a similar dilemma. Implementing immediate draconian isolation
measures and lockdown, which do not come without considerable economic and social
cost, but as freely advocated by some armchair experts, could backfire if they
lost public support. The best way through this crisis is through
firm leadership and public discipline – I do not envy those who must make some
very big decisions on our behalf.
At a practical level we propose to spend most of the forthcoming
weeks at Mushroom Cottage. The football
match at Newcastle tomorrow has been cancelled so that saves me the anguish of
a decision. Pity, despite Sheffield United's lofty position, I thought we would win this one. The England cricket team are
flying home from Sri Lanka having left the field in mid-session and all other
sport and mass entertainment is being systematically cancelled. Otherwise, it could have been good news for
people like me who, as BT customers, finally got rid of the capriciously
selective Sky Sports Main Event in favour of their Big Sport package which
includes all the sports channels and is a lot cheaper. Except, that there will be no live sport to
watch so we must brace ourselves for a diet of great sporting moment repeats. The Bridge Club remains open for the time being but I doubt if it can continue – the prospect of forty or fifty mainly old
people in a stuffy room together for about 3 hours and all touching the same playing
cards seems a rather risky health venture, despite its social good.
Which leaves the garden - soaking wet and resplendent from
winter neglect. This morning I dug over
the vegetable patch. Tomorrow for tomato
seed planting and I may make a start on scarifying the lawn, if its dry enough. There is plenty to keep me busy over the next
few weeks and when I tire of physical labour I can enjoy the newspaper online,
various periodical delivered by post, and Adam Bede on my Kindle. To mitigate the enforced separation, we have the internet and WhatsApp for video
calls to the Grandson. And, of course, I have this Blog to write! On Day One, morale is reasonably high.
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