Thursday 29 March 2018

My Complaint of Bias by the BBC



A BBC TV News report on 14 February 2018, led by Kamal Ahmed, the powerful BBC Economics Editor, attempted to show that EU GDP growth was outstripping that in the UK with the clear inference that, economically, the EU would be better off remaining in the EU.  I was outraged by the careless use of statistics which seemed to me to have been selectively manipulated to derive the desired editorial conclusion.  I complained to the BBC under the category of “Bias” and citing inaccurate EU export figures and selective statistics as the basis for my complaint.  This is what I said:

“Kamal Ahmed claimed “nearly 50% of our exports go to the EU” on the BBC News on 14 Feb 18. According to the House of commons Library, in 2016, UK exports to the EU were £236 billion or 43% of total exports. The EU may, overall, be “our largest trading partner,” but that statement does not mean that the majority of our exports go there – the majority of our exports go to trading partners outside the EU (and this trend is increasing). I believe you should have made this clear. Ahmed then went on to lard up his message displaying a graph to show a comparison of GDP growth between UK and the EU from about 2007 to the present. The pattern displayed correctly showed the rate of growth diverging in favour of the EU over the last couple of years. This apparently reinforced the BBC’s consistent editorial line that leaving the EU will be an economic disaster. However, had he shown a growth comparison over a more statistically significant period, the graphic would have portrayed exactly the opposite to his preferred interpretation. In fact, between 1980 and 2007, just before the crash, the average annual growth rate was 2.1% for France, 1.6% for Germany, 2.4% for the Netherlands, and 1.8% for Italy. Meantime, growth in the UK averaged 2.4%. If you extend the period to 2012, the six original signatories of the Treaty of Rome grew at only 1.6% compared to the UK at 2.0%. Finally, as the graph did show, by the end of 2013 the UK was recovering strongly from the crash whilst the EU continued to languish behind. The source for these figures is “The Trouble with Europe” by Roger Bootle. Sadly, and to the detriment of the education of their audience, these statistical inconveniences appear to have been overlooked by Ahmed and the rest of the BBC editorial staff. In the interests of impartiality and balance, I expect the BBC to publicly acknowledge and correct the misleading impression they have given.”

Nearly 6 weeks later, the BBC have favoured me with a reply, a lot of which is an apology for their delay in replying.  This is what they said:

“Thank you for contacting us about ‘BBC News at Ten’ on February 14.

First of all, we’d like to offer our sincere apologies for the delay in responding. An admin error at our end led to the delay in you receiving an answer. We’re sorry you had to wait and appreciate that it prompted you to get in touch again recently in CAS-4846842. We’re offering our first reply here – thanks for bearing with us.

You raised concerns about the range of dates chosen for the business analysis on EU exports. As you pointed out, Kamal mentioned that “nearly 50% of our exports go to the EU” – so we didn’t suggest that it receives a majority of the UK export trade. 

We appreciate you felt the overall picture was misleading and that a different angle could have been offered, if the data had been handled differently. 

The latest report from Eurostat was clearly sourced and was the context of this latest development – given that it had been ten years since both areas responded to the crash of 2008. That was the timeframe and scope, with no intention to pose a negative angle – we’ve featured a range of statistics, expert statements and commentary on policy which look at the pros and cons of different Brexit scenarios for the UK economy. We hear a range of outlooks over time, though we realise you feel this was a missed opportunity to tell a different perspective.

We hope this explains the approach – please be assured that your original points were made available at the time to relevant BBC News staff and senior editors. Audience reaction informs our ongoing work and we’ll continue to look at the financial impact of the Brexit agreement in due course.

One again, we’re sorry for the unusual delay and appreciate you taking the time to make your concerns known.”

You may agree that the BBC has completely overlooked my claim of bias by manipulating statistics.  You may also agree that their patronising put-down, “we hear a range of outlooks over time, though we realise you feel this was a missed opportunity to tell a different perspective,” betrays the virtuous self-righteousness of the BBC editorial position on Brexit.  In the topsy-turvy world of the BBC, it is me, the complainant, who is out of step with opinion and, since my views are by their definition “extreme,” they may, apparently, be ignored in the debate.  I consider that the BBC is in contravention of its own editorial guidelines and shall be appealing to the BBC Trust accordingly.
I should be most grateful for any comments that may assist my crusade?



Wednesday 21 March 2018

Transition Deal is No Deal



Thumbs down to the Brexit transition deal which will be presented to a European Council Summit tomorrow.  Apparently, we have negotiated a “deal” which allows access to both the single market and the customs union, for which we pay very handsomely but have no say in making or interpreting the rules.  Meantime, EU immigration will continue unabated and foreign fishermen will continue to pillage our territorial waters.  All this to prevent a “cliff edge” of uncertainty for our whinging business lobbies, in March next year.  But hang on, all the transition deal has done is push the uncertainty back to December 2020.  There is not a hint of the shape of our future relationship in the surrender deal.  Surely, there is no point in having a transition if we do not know what we are transitioning to?  We have no idea what will happen then or, indeed, what further concessions we may need to give to extricate ourselves from the self-important Michel Barnier and his legions of unelected officials.  Perhaps Northern Ireland will be sacrificed along with Gibraltar?

It would be nice to take comfort from Government mouth music that no deal is better than a bad deal or that nothing is agreed until everything is agreed but having seen red line after red line rubbed-out and re-submitted without a fight, I won’t be holding my breath.

Tuesday 20 March 2018

Data Outrage

I have two questions to anyone feeling outraged by C4 revelations on data issues:


  1. When you signed up for your social media account did you read and understand the terms and conditions?
  2. Why do you think your social media account is "free?"

Monday 19 March 2018

Better Off Out?



Paul Johnson, that most plausible independent economist, uses some dodgy reasoning in his column in the Times today.  He, correctly, argues that making trade with (by far our biggest, richest and closest trading partner*) more expensive will not have net economic benefits.  Quite so but it is not a foregone conclusion, as he also argues, that leaving the single market and the customs union, re-negotiating trading arrangements (which is demonstrably in mutual self-interest) and finding better things to do with our membership subscription, would, necessarily, leave us worse off economically in the long run.

*I still haven’t received a reply from the BBC about this popular distortion.