Friday 20 January 2017

Negotiating Our EU Exit



The gushingly self-important Anna Soubry, Cassandra-in-Chief, wrote to The Times yesterday demanding that the PM should publish her (Brexit) plan in a White paper and ensure that it is debated in the country at large and in parliament.  One can only speculate at her motives for calling for such a course but she surely cannot believe that involving the dead hand of Parliamentary scrutiny will do anything to speed or enhance the process.  She surely hopes, as the spokesperson of a desperate band of out-of-touch politicians, to use “expert opinion” to frustrate the will of the people.  I think recent evidence suggests that we have had enough of experts.  It is time to stop the debate and the endless virtue signalling and get on with doing what the voters wanted.

Churchill, of course, could be strikingly direct.  In 1942, with the world war going very badly for Great Britain he focussed on North Africa and, on 10 August, wrote to his Commander, Lord Alexander, thus:

“1.          Your prime and main duty will be to take or destroy at the earliest opportunity the German-Italian army commanded by Field-Marshal Rommel, together with all its supplies and establishments in Egypt and Libya.
2.            You will discharge or cause to be discharged such other duties as pertain to your command without prejudice to the task described in paragraph 1, which must be considered paramount in His Majesty’s interests.”

It could be argued that Churchill, safe in his War Room under Whitehall with just a few large-scale maps on the wall didn’t really understand what he was asking.  Indeed, Alexander could have responded:

“Thank you for your most interesting suggestion but I have to say that, whilst such a course may provide some popularity for you at home, it is hopelessly optimistic for execution out here and I must advise you the limits of what is achievable.  You may be choosing to ignore just how strong Rommel is in North Africa.  His men are highly trained, well dug in and well supplied.  Attacking them now would result in a blood-bath.  Indeed, I have been talking to some of our allies, Australians, Canadians, New Zealanders, and Indians and they are telling me that the sort of plan you propose was not what they thought they were getting involved with when the signed up on our side a couple of years ago.  I would need to enlist the help of other Departments and I know the Royal Navy are rather busy over in Greece.  Our light blue friends, cocky as ever, will always have other priorities, I’m afraid. We must also clear the whole thing with the Americans since we do not want to be treading on their toes.  I concede, however, that the Italians are a different matter.  They have got quite a few problems with leadership at home and it may be that we could pick them off cheaply in the medium term.  That would still leave Rommel to be dealt with and for this I suggest some sort of transitional arrangement, perhaps leaving him in place whilst we sort out a territorial accommodation?  I would not underestimate the difficulty even of achieving an interim solution and I suggest the allow at least 10 years for these arrangements to be settled.  Finally, for the avoidance of doubt, when you say “Libya” do you mean the whole of Cyrenaica and Tripolitania including Fezzan in the south?

I am sorry to have written at such length but I feel it is necessary for me to give you the full benefit of my experience in these matters.  No doubt you will wish to discuss my comments in detail and I look forward to your response in due course”

Of course, Alexander wrote no such letter (despite what he must have personally assessed as the difficulties ahead).  Instead, he got on with the job with the resources available and those which he could practicably secure.  Indeed, just under a year later, Alexander replied to Churchill thus:

“Sir, The orders you gave me on 10 August 1942 have been fulfilled.  His Majesty’s enemies, together with their impedimenta, have been eliminated from Egypt, Cyrenaica, Libya, and Tripolitania.  I now await your further instructions.”

Perhaps the PM should issue the Foreign Secretary with some pithy orders:

“You are to complete the disengagement of the United Kingdom from the EU, including all its economic, commercial, political and military impedimenta by 31 March 2019.”

I rather think Boris would relish the challenge!







Wednesday 18 January 2017

Inflation Doom Reporting

Not content with their thoroughly negative reporting of the PM's EU speech, the BBC seized on the latest inflation figures as further evidence of the folly of voting to leave the EU.  The phrase "post Brexit fall in the Pound" nicely implies that the currency value change was entirely due to the stupidity of the Brexit vote.  No balancing acknowledgement that the Pound was already significantly over-valued and that a correction would have occur ed sooner rather than later.  Undeterred, the BBC reported with scarcely disguised anguish and hand wringing portents of doom that UK inflation had risen to 1.6%.  No mention that this is, significantly, below the Bank of England target nor that inflation in the model EU economy of Germany is currently 1.7%.

More faked news from the BBC.

Tuesday 17 January 2017

The PM's Speech on Europe

According to the Channel 4 and BBC news programmes tonight, nobody thought that the PM had made a good speech setting out a pragmatic way forward.  Even the commentators who felt obliged, in the interest of balance of course, to mention any upside, could not resist leaving the viewers with a hanging question of negative implication.

I think we deserve better from our public service broadcasters.