Friday 29 November 2019

Blame Game



Three quotations appeared, apparently by coincidence, in the Times on the day that the Police Commander at the Hillsborough football disaster was reported as cleared of manslaughter:

“I would like to know who is responsible for my father’s death because someone is.”  Christine Burke, from the public gallery after the judgement by Mr Justice Openshaw.

“Name the greatest of all the inventors.  Accident.”  Mark Twain.

Never attribute to malice that which can be adequately explained by stupidity or incompetence.  Hanlon’s razor.

Mr Duckenfield’s defence argued that he had done “what he was expected to do in difficult circumstances.”

I conducted two major Boards of Inquiry into aircraft accidents; one in which there were no survivors to tell their side of the story and the second in which political considerations, eventually, trumped reason and fairness.  In both cases I had to negotiate the fine line set out in my terms of reference: distinguishing the determination of the cause with apportioning blame, if any.

Determination of the cause relies on pure logic and a painstaking process of analysis of the facts.  There can be no conjecture – either something happened as a result of something or it didn’t.  When we come to apportioning blame subjectivity inevitably arises and it follows that one man’s interpretation could be open to challenge from another. Did a human act or omission either cause the accident or made the consequences of the accident more severe?  In identifying a human act or omission was it reasonable to have expected the individual to have acted otherwise (according to the standards and criteria of the time)?  Difficult territory indeed and probably the subject of ongoing disagreement, regardless of the judgement.

My wife suffered the trauma of losing her first husband in an aircraft accident, the 48th anniversary of which is shortly to arise.  Historians might examine that Board of Inquiry and, even by applying the standards of the time, conclude that the tragic events arose through more than misfortune with hubris and stupidity to the fore.  Joan has the same suspicions but, long ago, decided that nothing in the future could change the past and got on with her life accordingly.  I am most grateful.

Thursday 21 November 2019

Labour's Manifesto

The manifesto promises may well be, "fully costed," but that doesn't make them affordable.

Tuesday 12 November 2019

Remembering


I always observe a reflective silence on the 11th November.  Yesterday I was in York and joined a good crowd around the North Eastern Railway War Memorial for a commemoration and wreath laying.  Apart from honouring the fallen, the Chaplain concluded the Act of Remembrance with, “we join together to pray for reconciliation between people and nations that all may live in freedom, justice and peace.” As the years pass, I suppose, and the harsh realities of brutal combat fade through future generations, reconciliation and forgiveness become easier.  History can be subtly rewritten to obscure a now uncomfortable past – the BBC, for instance, seems to think we should believe that we fought Hitler's Nazis rather than Germany and some may find their coverage of remembrance commemoration over-sentimentalised. We may recite, “we will remember them,” but we cannot imagine the sacrifices they made on our behalf.  I recall from the early 70s a jolly Sunday lunchtime session in the “Inn For All Seasons” being shockingly interrupted when one of our company, a retired Squadron leader, suddenly retreated to a corner of the bar, curled up on the floor and began to weep uncontrollably.  I found out later that “Squadders” as we called him had been a guest of the Japanese for a few years during the war.  How could we possibly even begin to imagine what he might have been through? Even so, the Railway Chaplain, praying for reconciliation in 2019, was stating the obvious that there can be no human progress without forgiveness, however hard.  It seems to me that the annual remembrance ceremonies help us to progress.

But there is another, sinister, aspect of remembering rife in our society as Douglas Murray reminds us starkly in “The Madness of Crowds.”  We all make mistakes in life and none of us boast an unblemished record.  In my youth one’s indiscretions might be publicised by word of mouth or, perhaps, a love letter carelessly discarded or revealed may betray some soppy weakness.  Photography was usually confined to formal portraiture and it is unlikely that any candid record of my behaviour as a schoolboy or, indeed, a very callow junior RAF Officer, survives.  It could, of course, and someone who bore me malice could use it against me.  More likely, past silliness might be recalled, even embellished at parties and reunions; laughed at and then put away again out of sight.  Nowadays and in the recent digital past things are much more problematic.  Use of “social media” has become so embedded in our lifestyle that it has become very difficult to avoid the instant critical scrutiny of others.  Worse, our digital past is available to anyone who is interested in digging dirt.  For example, the fancy dress appearing as a SS Officer, the blacked-up face, and the slobbering at the office party, are all available in digital archive just waiting to be sent to the world.  And it’s no use weeding through Facebook and deleting anything potentially embarrassing – anyone who wants to embarrass you has already made a copy.  Similarly, with the Twittersphere where indiscreet outbursts can be stored and used when required – just look at what is coming out of prospective parliamentary candidate’s past?  One could say, “but that was then and I’m different now - I made a mistake but I did my honest best at the time.” A superficially good defence except your opposition has just moved the goalposts.  Today’s digital vigilantes piously judge your past by current attitudes.  Having done you honest best at the time is no longer good enough and the joke you told in 1989, rapturously received by the after dinner guests, is now racially offensiveToday you must be judged with perfect hindsight and sentenced accordingly.  The sanctimonious self-appointed judges follow the social media denunciation procedure; point and shriek, isolate and swarm. If your “crime” is serious the consequences could be catastrophic and there are numerous high-profile examples of whole careers being wiped out by a self-righteous media storm.  But the really sinister thing is casual disregard for natural justice.  “Serves them right,” they say.  There is no process for appeal, no redress for wrongful accusation and, worse of all, no mechanism for rehabilitation – the kangaroo court of social media is ever ready to denounce but never seems to forgive.  It seems to me that if there is no forgiveness for the past then cooperation will be reduced.  Without cooperation, human progress will stall.  So much for the digital revolution?

Monday 4 November 2019

Promises, Promises


The Times leader today, pompously concerned that politicians will play to the populist gallery in the forthcoming election, recommends us that, “rather than fantasy economics, what Britain needs is a realistic debate about its priorities and how to fund them.”  Quite so but in a parliamentary climate in which manifesto promises, on all sides, are held in such light regard that many are repudiated before their ink is dry, those of us still awaiting delivery of the result of the EU referendum might wonder what on earth would be the point of any debate, realistic or not?